关键词: 中国, 情报研究, 预测性情报研究, 定量预测法, 定性预测法, 情景分析法

Abstract: In this article, the author illustrated the situation of Chinese Intelligence Research and the variation of demand of Intelligence service. According to this, the writer also proposed that there is still a giant requirement space of this area in China.He analyzed processes of Predictable Intelligence Research and stated that predictability method is the most significant content of Predictable Intelligence Research. Researchers have to focus on analysis and selections of predictability method to improve Predictable Intelligence Research. The author suggested that a combination method is the most appropriate way to do the research, mainly focuses on one method and uses other functions as assistant. In this way, observations are from various angles and the result can be predicted in different ways. That diverse angles supply and correcteach other makes the consequence more precise.

Key words: China