农业图书情报学报 ›› 2023, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (7): 4-17.doi: 10.13998/j.cnki.issn1002-1248.23-0409

• 特约综述 •    下一篇

技术机会识别研究综述与展望

刘婷1,2, 赵亚娟1,2,*   

  1. 1.中国科学院文献情报中心,北京 100190;
    2.中国科学院大学 经济与管理学院信息资源管理系,北京 100190
  • 收稿日期:2023-05-09 出版日期:2023-07-05 发布日期:2023-09-20
  • 通讯作者: *赵亚娟(1975- ),女,博士,研究员,博士生导师,研究方向为知识产权情报研究。Email:zhaoyj@mail.las.ac.cn
  • 作者简介:刘婷(1995- ),女,博士研究生,研究方向为专利信息分析方法与技术、知识产权情报研究
  • 基金资助:
    国家科技图书文献中心(NSTL)资助项目“支撑重点产业发展的关键核心技术链识别与储备研究”(E11Z1801)

Review and Prospect of Research on Technology Opportunity Identification

LIU Ting1,2, ZHAO Yajuan1,2,*   

  1. 1. National Science Library, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190;
    2. Department of Information Resources Management, School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
  • Received:2023-05-09 Online:2023-07-05 Published:2023-09-20

摘要: [目的/意义]技术机会识别对技术创新发展、企业战略布局等具有重大意义,系统梳理现有研究成果,辨析当前局限和未来发展方向,为进一步开展技术机会识别研究与实践提供理论支撑。[方法/过程]首先明晰了技术机会的内涵与类型,然后梳理不同类型技术机会识别的国内外研究现状,总结不同类型技术机会识别的特点,最后剖析现有研究存在问题并提出对未来的展望。[结果/结论]现有研究的局限性:技术机会识别的研究视角和数据源相对单一;对于技术的表征过于宏观或微观,较少考虑词语之间的语义关系;后期评价不足,缺乏综合、系统的评价体系。未来研究展望:跨领域、跨主题的技术机会识别研究,以实现更多技术要素之间的交叉汇聚将会成为发展趋势;开展技术机会识别的数据源、研究方法和内容将会更多元且具有针对性;分析框架和流程将更加规范化,后期评价体系将更加完善。

关键词: 技术机会识别, 技术机会类型, 研究方法, 技术创新, 述评

Abstract: [Purpose/Significance] Identifying potential technological opportunities will help countries and enterprises seize scientific and technological opportunities, which is particularly important for innovation entities to enhance their core competitiveness and gain competitive advantages in scientific and technological innovation and application. A systematic review of existing research is provided on technology opportunity identification, discriminating current limitations and research prospects to provide theoretical support for further research and practice on technology opportunity identification. [Method/Process] This paper first clarifies the connotation and types of technology opportunities, and the research holds that technology opportunities can be divided into three types: emerging technology, blank technology and fusion technology. It then sorts out the research status of three different types of technology opportunity identification at home and abroad through literature review, and focuses on the summary of the characteristics of different types of technology opportunity identification. It includes the core ideas, main methods, representative literature, and each type of data sources, and evaluates the existing research results. Finally, the limitations of the current research, and the development direction of future are discussed. [Results/Conclusions] Diversified types of technology opportunity identification are found and rich research methods are used in the literature, and a relatively standardized and systematic research paradigm has come into being. By analyzing each type of technology opportunity, some common elements can be found, including representative methods, method principles, data sources, knowledge representation units, technology opportunity definitions, technology opportunity evaluation, advantages and disadvantages, and other characteristics. The main limitations of the existing research are summarized as follows. First, the existing research is primarily carried out from a single perspective view, and a complete system of cross-domain technology identification and reference methods has not yet been formed. Second, in terms of data sources, most of the data sources of technology opportunity identification are papers or patent data, and there is a lack of research on the integration of multi-source data and study on multiple relationships. In terms of identification methods, the representative technology is primarily at a macro or micro level, and the semantic relationship between words is seldom considered. Finally, in terms of post-evaluation, there is a lack of a comprehensive and systematic evaluation system. The possible research work in the future may focus on the following aspects: cross-field and cross-topic technology opportunity identification to achieve cross convergence among more technology elements will become the development trend; more diversified and targeted data sources, research methods, and research content are expected; the analysis framework and process will be more standardized, and the post-evaluation system will be improved.

Key words: technology opportunity identification, technology opportunity types, research methods, technological innovation, review

中图分类号: 

  • G353.1

引用本文

刘婷, 赵亚娟. 技术机会识别研究综述与展望[J]. 农业图书情报学报, 2023, 35(7): 4-17.

LIU Ting, ZHAO Yajuan. Review and Prospect of Research on Technology Opportunity Identification[J]. Journal of Library and Information Science in Agriculture, 2023, 35(7): 4-17.